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Dorian Update: Tropical Storm Watch for Puerto Rico; Florida Is In 5 Day Cone

Puerto Rico
Tropical Storm Dorian is on the move just southeast of Barbados late on Monday  afternoon.  There is now a tropical storm watch for Puerto Rico, and additional watches and warnings are likely by early on Tuesday.  And as expected, South Florida is in the 4-to-5-day “cone.”
At 5 pm Monday, Dorian was located near 12.7 North, 58.8 West, and was moving west-northwest at 14 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds were still 60 miles per hour, but Dorian is expected to become a hurricane before its closest approach to Puerto Rico.
Dorian is expected to move over the Bahamas on Friday into Saturday, and warm ocean waters will allow strengthening, even if the system is disrupted by the mountains of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.  The latest computer model runs indicate at least a strong tropical storm (possibly a weak hurricane) as Dorian makes its closest approach to South Florida, probably on Saturday evening.
Now is the time to review your hurricane plan, get any hurricane supplies you need, make sure your vehicles have gas, and wait to see if it will be necessary to put up hurricane shutters.  And make sure you keep up to date on Dorian’s progress.
Donna Thomas has studied hurricanes for two decades. She holds a PhD in history when her experience with Hurricane Andrew ultimately led her to earn a degree in broadcast meteorology from Mississippi State University. Donna spent 15 years at WFOR-TV (CBS4 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale), where she worked as a weather producer with hurricane experts Bryan Norcross and David Bernard. She also produced hurricane specials and weather-related features and news coverage, as well as serving as pool TV producer at the National Hurricane Center during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. Donna also served as a researcher on NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project. Donna specializes in Florida's hurricane history.