The caller told me that Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness was fielding a powerful grassroots team. He was “definitely” going to win his bid for Congress in a special November 2 primary.
An email claimed that Sheila Cherfilus McCormick of Miramar was a shoe-in because of her pledge to give $1,000 to every adult earning less than $75,000.
No, first-term State Rep. Omari Hardy of West Palm Beach will win, said another reader. He has solid support in the LGBTQ community, the backing of many progressives, and a Sun-Sentinel endorsement.
All wishful thinking!
There are 11 candidates running for the late State Rep. Alcee Hastings seat in the special election. With that many candidates and a predicted light turnout, anyone could win.
Anyone. By a razor-thin margin.
Referring to the half dozen leading candidates, who all have run before, veteran pollster Jim Kane says:
“These are people who have been through campaigns. They all are working hard. They all have good resumes. Who is going to win? Who the f— knows?”
Florida has a long history of winners who were carried into office by a handful of votes. Remember George W. Bush? Remember former State Sen. Ellyn Bogdanoff and her first win by 12 votes?
I could go on, but you get the point.
So forget the polls, which several candidates are touting as showing them “ahead.”
In this race, polls mean little. Or nothing.
