Thursday features good sun, some clouds, and the chance of a shower in the morning, followed by showers and a few storms in the afternoon. Things will get much wetter in the evening and overnight hours as plenty of showers and a few storms associated with the developing system to our southwest begin to move into South Florida. A moderate risk of dangerous rip currents remains at the Atlantic beaches during the day on Thursday, but expect beach conditions to become hazardous at all South Florida beaches during the night and into the weekend. Highs on Tuesday will be mostly in the upper 80s.
Friday will bring what’s expected to be the worst weather from the developing system. Expect windy conditions, rounds of storms, and periods of very heavy rainfall. Flooding is likely in low-lying areas, as is dangerous street flooding. Friday’s highs will be in the low 80s.
Saturday morning will see lingering showers and storms with gusty winds. Rain is expected to taper off in the afternoon, but clouds will hang around.. Saturday’s highs will be in the mid-80s in the east coast metro area and the upper 80s along the Gulf coast.
Sunday will feature a mix of sun and clouds, showers at times, and some mostly afternoon storms. Sunday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.
Monday’s forecast calls for mostly sunny skies and periods of showers and storms. Highs on Monday will be in the upper 80s.
In the tropics, the low near the Yucatan is likely to become the first tropical depression of the Atlantic hurricane season — and possibly the first tropical storm — before reaching South Florida. (The first name on the 2022 list is Alex.) A reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to fly into the system Thursday afternoon, and it’s possible that watches or warnings might be issued for South Florida later on Thursday. While the ocean water is very warm, upper level winds are unfavorable for rapid development. The greatest threat to South Florida from this developing system is expected to be flooding rains, with totals for the next few days exceeding 5 inches. Take all necessary precautions for flooding if your home is in a low-lying area.
Elsewhere, there’s an area of showers a couple of hundred miles east of the central Bahamas. The National Hurricane Center gives it a low chance of developing over the next 5 days as it moves east-northeastward.