Home Weather Mostly Rain For Florida From TD Fred, Now Watching TS Grace

Mostly Rain For Florida From TD Fred, Now Watching TS Grace

As Tropical Depression Fred stays mostly to our south, a tropical storm warning is in effect for the Florida Keys from the Dry Tortugas to just west of the Seven Mile Bridge.  But we’ll have to watch Tropical Storm Grace, which could be near South Florida sometime in the middle of next week.

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TD Fred (Image: TWC)

Saturday’s weather will be dominated by the effects of Fred.  The Lower Keys can expect tropical storm conditions.  Look for breezy conditions and periods of heavy rain around South Florida. A flood watch is in effect through Sunday evening.  A high risk of dangerous rip currents is in place at the Atlantic beaches through Monday morning.  Highs on Saturday will be mostly in the mid-80s.

Sunday will be breezy and mostly cloudy with periods of showers and storms.  Heavy rain is possible at times, and the flood watch remains in place..  Sunday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

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Monday will feature mostly sunny skies with periods of showers and storms developing in the mid to late afternoon.  Monday’s highs will be near 90 degrees.

Tuesday will see a mix of sun and clouds in the morning and showers and storms in the afternoon.  Tuesday’s highs will be near 90 degrees in the east coast metro area and the low 90s along the Gulf coast.

Wednesday’s forecast will depend on the track of Tropical Storm Grace.  For now, we’ll say to look for a mix of sun, showers, and some storms.  Highs on Wednesday will be in the low 90s.

Tropical Depression Fred remains disorganized, but it is bringing heavy rain to portions of Cuba and the Florida Keys.  At 5 am Saturday, TD Fred was located near 23.3 North, 81.7 West, about 90 miles south of Key West.  Maximum sustained winds were 35 miles per hour, and Fred was moving west-northwest at 13 miles per hour.  A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Keys from west of the Seven Mile Bridge to the Dry Tortugas.  There are no other watches or warnings at this time.  The Lower Keys can expect tropical storm conditions on Saturday, and all of South Florida can expect periods of very heavy rain, with localized flooding possible on Saturday and Sunday.  Fred is expected to regain tropical storm status before reaching the northern Gulf coast Monday night.

We now have to watch Tropical Storm Grace, which formed from the wave in the central Atlantic.  At 5 am Saturday, TS Grace was located near 15.8 North, 55.6 West, about 420 miles east of the Leeward Islands.  Maximum sustained winds were 40 miles per hour, and Grace was moving west at a rapid 22 miles per hour.  Tropical storm warnings are in effect for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, as well as most of the Leeward Islands.  Grace is expected to follow a track very close to that of Fred, and the big question will be how much it would be disrupted by land interaction with Hispaniola.  South Florida will need to plan for the possibility of impacts from Grace, which could occur as early as Wednesday — so make sure you stay updated on the tropics.


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Donna Thomas has studied hurricanes for two decades. She holds a PhD in history when her experience with Hurricane Andrew ultimately led her to earn a degree in broadcast meteorology from Mississippi State University. Donna spent 15 years at WFOR-TV (CBS4 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale), where she worked as a weather producer with hurricane experts Bryan Norcross and David Bernard. She also produced hurricane specials and weather-related features and news coverage, as well as serving as pool TV producer at the National Hurricane Center during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. Donna also served as a researcher on NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project. Donna specializes in Florida's hurricane history.