THE VOTE IS IN THE MAIL!
Instead of the ballot box, more Florida voters are choosing the mailbox than in 2012.
Analysis from Ryan Tyson, Associated Industries of Florida’s political guru, showed nearly 1.2 million ballots were cast as of Sunday. That’s a nearly 61 percent increase from the same point — 16 days out from Election Day — in 2012, when 742,683 ballots had been cast.
Democrats are increasing their share of ballots returned. The analysis showed Democrats returned 478,351 ballots with 16 days out, compared to 293,181 at the same point in 2012. Republicans, meanwhile, had returned 498,256 ballots, up from 332,938 at the same point four years earlier.
“So why are the votes by mail growing so much? Contrary to popular belief, we don’t anticipate that it’s an indicator of a higher than usual turnout,” wrote Tyson. “Rather, we would suggest the growth in the popularity of VBM is due to both parties’ continuing effort to move their early or election day voters forward.”
So just who exactly is voting by mail? They’re older, white and from Southwest Florida. Continue Reading
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Latest polls from RealClearPolitics
| Election 2016 | Clinton | Trump | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Poll Average | 48.3 | 43.2 | Clinton +5.1 |
| 4-Way RCP Average | 45.1 | 40.0 | Clinton +5.1 |
| Favorability Ratings | -9.4 | -25.2 | Clinton +15.8 |
| Live Betting Odds | 84.0 | 16.0 |
| Electoral College | Clinton | Trump | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Electoral Map | 272 | 126 | Clinton +146 |
| No Toss Up States | 333 | 205 |
Battlegrounds   |
Clinton | Trump | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 47.0 | 43.2 | Clinton +3.8 |
| Ohio | 44.0 | 44.6 | Trump +0.6 |
| Pennsylvania | 46.4 | 40.2 | Clinton +6.2 |
| Wisconsin | 45.3 | 38.3 | Clinton +7.0 |
| North Carolina | 46.1 | 44.0 | Clinton +2.1 |
| Iowa | 38.0 | 41.7 | Trump +3.7 |
| Nevada | 46.0 | 41.3 | Clinton +4.7 |
SaintPetersBlog, excerpt posted on SouthFloridaReporter.com Oct. 25, 2016
RealClearPolitics
ReutersTV
