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Clinton, Trump in Dead Heat in New Poll of Florida

dead heat
Image: Sunshine State News

America could be in for a long night on Tuesday as Florida once again looks close in the presidential election.

Quinnipiac University released a poll on Wednesday afternoon showing Democrat Hillary Clinton with the narrowest of leads over Republican Donald Trump in the Sunshine State. Clinton takes 46 percent while Trump is right on her heels with 45 percent.

The poll does show Clinton with an early lead with 48 percent of those who have already voted backing her while 42 percent are behind Trump.

Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein pull 2 percent apiece. When the minor party candidates are taken out of the mix, Clinton is ahead with 47 percent  while 45 percent are behind Trump.

“After a two-year campaign which has produced the most unpopular presidential candidates in American history, the election comes down – as it historically does – to a handful of swing states,” said Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll which had Trump ahead in Ohio and Clinton out front in North Carolina. Pennsylvania

“No one has been elected president since 1960 without carrying two of the key swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania,” Brown added.  “And, this year, North Carolina has been added to the mix. All four of these key states remain close entering the final days.

“Florida, which has the largest cache of electoral votes, is a virtual tie and North Carolina is almost as close,” Brown continued. “Donald Trump’s strength is with independent voters.”

Both Clinton and Trump are upside down in Florida. Clinton is seen as favorable by 44 percent while 54 percent see her as unfavorable. Trump is seen as favorable by 40 percent while 57 percent view him as unfavorable.

Latest polls from RealClearPolitics

Florida Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump (R)
Clinton (D)
Johnson (L)
Stein (G)
Spread
RCP Average 10/25 – 11/1 46.0 45.3 2.9 1.1 Trump +0.7
CNN/ORC 10/27 – 11/1 773 LV 3.5 47 49 3 1 Clinton +2
Quinnipiac 10/27 – 11/1 626 LV 3.9 45 46 2 2 Clinton +1
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 – 10/30 989 LV 3.1 48 44 2 Trump +4
NY Times/Siena 10/25 – 10/27 814 LV 3.4 46 42 4 2 Trump +4
Emerson 10/26 – 10/27 500 LV 4.3 45 46 4 0 Clinton +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/25 – 10/26 779 LV 3.5 44 45 5 2 Clinton +1
Dixie Strategies 10/25 – 10/26 698 LV 3.7 46 42 2 1 Trump +4
Gravis 10/25 – 10/26 1301 RV 2.7 47 48 1 0 Clinton +1

All Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Polling Data

Thursday, November 3
Race/Topic   (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein CBS News/NY Times Clinton 45, Trump 42, Johnson 5, Stein 4 Clinton +3
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton CBS News/NY Times Clinton 47, Trump 44 Clinton +3
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 43, Trump 48 Trump +5
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 47, Trump 45, Johnson 3, Stein 2 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 49, Trump 47 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 44, Trump 44, Johnson 4, Stein 2 Tie
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 44, Trump 44 Tie

By SunshineStateNews excerpt posted on SouthFloridaReporter.com Nov. 3, 2016 

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