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Sunday Forecast As Florida Awaits Ian

While recent National Hurricane Center advisories show a forecast track to our north, South Floridians should continue to watch Ian and prepare for potential impacts — including possible tropical storm conditions in western portions of our area.  Ian is forecast to become a major hurricane, so the threat to Florida, in general, remains high.

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Sunday features a sunny morning, but showers and storms will be around in the afternoon, especially in the east coast metro area.  A high risk of dangerous rip currents is in place along the Palm Beach County coast, and there’s a moderate rip current risk at the Miami-Dade and Broward beaches.  Highs on Sunday will be near 90 degrees right at the Atlantic and Gulf coasts and in the low 90s elsewhere.

Monday will bring clouds, showers, and storms during the day and into the nighttime hours.  Monday’s highs will be mostly in the upper 80s.

Tuesday will feature showers on a building breeze.  Conditions will deteriorate during the day, especially along the Gulf coast.  Tropical storm conditions are possible along the Gulf coast starting Tuesday night.  Tuesday’s highs will be in the mid-80s.

Wednesday will likely see the worst of the weather from Ian.  Tropical storm conditions are possible along the Gulf coast, and the east coast metro area will see windy conditions and periods of heavy rain.  Wednesday’s highs will be mostly in the mid-80s.

Thursday’s forecast still depends on Ian.  But we’ll say it calls for a breezy day with a mix of sun, clouds, and periods of showers and storms in the east coast metro area.  There’s still the possibility of tropical storm conditions early on Thursday along the Gulf coast, depending on the movement of Ian.  Highs on Thursday will be mostly in the upper 80s.

Tropical Storm Ian is forecast to strengthen rapidly on Sunday, so we continue to watch what is a significant threat to Florida.  At 5 am, Ian was located about 345 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman.  Maximum sustained winds were 50 miles per hour, and Ian was moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.  There’s a hurricane warning for Grand Cayman and a tropical storm warning for the rest of the Cayman Islands.  There is a hurricane watch for western Cuba and a tropical storm watch for central portions of the island, including Havana.  While South Florida is no longer in the 4-to-5-day cone, Ian is forecast to bring at least tropical storm force gusts along with periods of heavy rain on Tuesday evening through Wednesday and even into Thursday — especially along the Gulf coast.

Fiona is finally weakening from the effects of cold northern waters, but not after bringing severe damage to portions of Canada on Saturday.

Tropical Storm Gaston is moving away from the Azores.  At 5 am, Gaston was located about 315 miles west of the central Azores.  Maximum sustained winds were 50 miles per hour, and Gaston was moving west-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

Hermine is now a remnant low, but it continues to drop heavy rain on the Canary Islands.  At 5 am, what was left of Hermine had maximum sustained winds of 30 miles per hour and was moving north at 10 miles per hour.

Lastly, the wave in the central Atlantic has a low chance of becoming a depression during the next five days.

Donna Thomas has studied hurricanes for two decades. She holds a PhD in history when her experience with Hurricane Andrew ultimately led her to earn a degree in broadcast meteorology from Mississippi State University. Donna spent 15 years at WFOR-TV (CBS4 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale), where she worked as a weather producer with hurricane experts Bryan Norcross and David Bernard. She also produced hurricane specials and weather-related features and news coverage, as well as serving as pool TV producer at the National Hurricane Center during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. Donna also served as a researcher on NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project. Donna specializes in Florida's hurricane history.

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