Trump v Clinton: Florida or bust (GIF & Video & Poll)

Hillary Clinton holds an unscheduled news conference to talk about FBI inquiries into her emails after a campaign rally in Des Moines, Iowa. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - Donald Trump appears at a campaign roundtable event in Manchester, New Hampshire. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri

Living in Celebration, a small town of about 7,000 souls in central Florida, is like being back in the 1950s, says Anne Lucas, a 74-year-old resident. Some of her neighbours describe it as The Bubble.

This is how Celebration’s citizens like it. The town was confected two decades ago by the Walt Disney Company to be an idealised sliver of mid-20th century Americana — a carefully curated haven of wooden verandas, front porches and picket fences, with a filmset capacity to conjure up comforting impressions of small-town innocence.

Watch Florida Voter Turnout Increase Daily Click To Set In Motion (Visual by Proxeme & CateComm)

Sitting in her neat front sitting room with her husband Gene, Ms Lucas has no doubt which of the two main presidential candidates has the better chance of restoring the social cohesion and family-friendly safety she cherishes in Celebration, whose logo is of a girl cycling under an oak tree.

“I think he’s going to win by a landslide: it will be a ‘come to Jesus’ moment in the polls,” she says of Donald Trump, the Republican candidate. The US is losing its identity amid globalisation, illegal immigration and moral degradation, argues Ms Lucas, a stern woman who is a semi-retired geriatric care manager. “Russia is a strong country. China is a strong country. Japan is a strong country. We are just mush,” she says.

Convincing older, well-educated white citizens like the Lucases to turn out in November will be critical to Mr Trump’s hopes of overcoming his weakness among Florida’s rapidly growing Hispanic population and clinching victory in the biggest swing state.  READ MORE

Florida Polls by ReaclClearPolitics

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE
Clinton (D)
Trump (R)
Johnson (L)
Stein (G)
RCP Average 10/20 – 10/26 44.7 44.0 3.2 1.6 Clinton +0.7
Univ. of North Florida 10/20 – 10/25 819 LV 3.4 43 39 6 2 Clinton +4
Dixie Strategies 10/25 – 10/26 698 LV 3.7 42 46 2 1 Trump +4
Bloomberg 10/21 – 10/24 953 LV 3.2 43 45 4 2 Trump +2
Bay News 9/SurveyUSA 10/20 – 10/24 1251 LV 2.8 48 45 2 1 Clinton +3
Remington Research (R)* 10/20 – 10/22 1646 LV 2.4 46 46 2 Tie
CBS News/YouGov 10/20 – 10/21 1042 LV 3.6 46 43 3 2 Clinton +3

Story By Financial Times, excerpt posted on Oct. 29, 2016 


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