Trump Expands Map; Clinton Team Swarms Battlegrounds


It’s coming down to the nitty gritty in the race for the White House. An ABC News poll released this morning gives Donald Trump a 1-point lead over rival Hillary Clinton. Other polls show Clinton has lost some ground.

ABCNewsTrump Leads Clinton by 1 Point in New Poll as Enthusiasm Declines

Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

Forty-six percent of likely voters support Trump in the latest results, with 45 percent for Clinton. Taking it to the decimal for illustrative purposes, a mere .7 of a percentage point divides them. Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.

Washington Post: Could pollsters be missing hidden Trump voters?

When Donald Trump is down in the polls, it’s not Donald Trump’s fault, it’s the polls’. Donald Trump trails when he trails because the pollsters are missing something, just like they missed something in Brexit, which they really didn’t. Donald Trump is never failing; it’s the polls that are failing America. Donald Trump is never losing; it’s the pollsters who are losers.

Is he right?

RealClearPoliticsTrump Expands Map; Clinton Team Swarms Battlegrounds

Buoyed by recent polling but still facing a perilously narrow path to victory, Donald Trump will broaden his gaze in the final week of the presidential campaign, expanding from the central battleground states to others currently favoring Hillary Clinton.

The strategy, his campaign says, seizes on shrinking polling margins in states like Michigan, New Mexico and Colorado, and comes on the heels of fresh questions about Clinton’s private email server and news that Obamacare premiums are poised to rise dramatically in many states next year.

“Michigan is up for grabs,” Trump’s campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, told CNN on Monday, a day when Trump made two stops there. The RealClearPolitics average shows Clinton leading in Michigan by 6.3 percentage points.




Campaigning In Florida:

Hillary Clinton: Today Hillary Clinton campaigns in Dade City, Sanford and finally Ft. Lauderdale

Bill Clinton: Today Bill Clinton campaigns in Florida City, Immokalee and St. Petersburg.

President Obama: Thursday President Obama campaigns for Hillary in Miami

Donald Trump: Wednesday Donald Trump campaigns in Miami and Pensacola. Thursday, Donald Trump campaigns in Jacksonville before flying off to other states.

Latest polls from RealClearPolitics

Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump (R)
Clinton (D)
Johnson (L)
Stein (G)
RCP Average 10/21 – 10/30 45.5 44.5 3.1 1.0 Trump +1.0
Remington Research (R)* 10/30 – 10/30 989 LV 3.1 48 44 2 Trump +4
NY Times/Siena 10/25 – 10/27 814 LV 3.4 46 42 4 2 Trump +4
Emerson 10/26 – 10/27 500 LV 4.3 45 46 4 0 Clinton +1
NBC/WSJ/Marist 10/25 – 10/26 779 LV 3.5 44 45 5 2 Clinton +1
Dixie Strategies 10/25 – 10/26 698 LV 3.7 46 42 2 1 Trump +4
Gravis 10/25 – 10/26 1301 RV 2.7 47 48 1 0 Clinton +1
Bloomberg 10/21 – 10/24 953 LV 3.2 45 43 4 2 Trump +2
Florida Atlantic University 10/21 – 10/23 500 LV 4.3 43 46 3 0 Clinton +3

RealClearPolitics excerpt posted on

Graphics by PROXEME and CATECOMM