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Tropical Moisture on the Way

tropical moisture

tropical moistureTropical moisture is on the way to South Florida this weekend and beyond, thanks to the disturbance we’ve been watching all week. Showers and storms will pass through South Florida on Saturday, with most of the activity along the east coast and in the Keys until the afternoon, when the Gulf coast will start to get its share. The risk of dangerous rip currents will increase along east coast beaches on Saturday. Highs will be in the sticky low 90s.

tropical moistureWe’re continuing to watch the disturbance for signs of organization, but in any event, Sunday will be stormy throughout South Florida, as tropical moisture associated with it arrives on Sunday morning. We’ll see periods of heavy rain and gusty winds throughout the day and into the evening. The risk of dangerous rip currents will be high at least through Monday at Atlantic and Gulf beaches and will remain high through Wednesday at Gulf coast beaches. Sunday’s highs will be in the upper 80s in metro Miami-Dade, Broward, and the Keys but will reach the low 90s in the Naples area.

Showers and storms will continue throughout the day and into the evening on Monday, and we could see rainfall totals of 5 inches or more in some locations, so street flooding is possible in low-lying areas. Monday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

Tuesday will be stormy again throughout South Florida, with periods of downpours and highs in the upper 80s.

On Wednesday, we’ll see rain chances go down slightly in the Miami-Dade and Broward metro areas, while the Lower Keys and Gulf coast will remain stormy. Wednesday’s highs will be near 90 degrees.

image16The disturbance remains disorganized and is still encountering dry air and unfavorable upper level winds. The National Hurricane Center gives it a low chance of developing into a depression by Sunday and a medium chance of developing in the Gulf of Mexico by midweek. We’ll be watching it, though, because it will bring copious amounts of rain to Hispaniola, parts of Cuba and the Bahamas (as well as South Florida), and it could pose a threat to portions of the Gulf coast next week.

Elsewhere in the tropics, Gaston is now moving north-northwest and is forecast to regain hurricane strength on Sunday. Gaston’s projected track will be well east of Bermuda.

And the area of disturbed weather in the northern Gulf of Mexico has a low chance of developing into a depression over the next few days.

[vc_message message_box_style=”solid” message_box_color=”turquoise”]By Donna Thomas, SouthFloridaReporter.com Meteorologist, Aug. 27, 2016 [/vc_message]
Donna Thomas has studied hurricanes for two decades. She holds a PhD in history when her experience with Hurricane Andrew ultimately led her to earn a degree in broadcast meteorology from Mississippi State University. Donna spent 15 years at WFOR-TV (CBS4 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale), where she worked as a weather producer with hurricane experts Bryan Norcross and David Bernard. She also produced hurricane specials and weather-related features and news coverage, as well as serving as pool TV producer at the National Hurricane Center during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. Donna also served as a researcher on NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project. Donna specializes in Florida's hurricane history.