

At 5 pm Sunday, Karen was located near 12.9 North, 62.7 West, about 85 miles northwest of Grenada and 360 miles south-southeast of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Maximum sustained winds were 40 miles per hour. Karen was moving west-northwest at 13 miles per hour.

Karen’s future is complicated. It will struggle with strong wind shear on Monday, which will limit its strength — or possibly tear it apart. Conditions will be more favorable north of Puerto Rico. The latest computer model runs indicate that a strong ridge is likely to build over the southeastern U.S. next weekend — which could force Karen westward toward some portion of U.S. coast. This is still highly uncertain, but we’ll be watching Karen closely as the week progresses.
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