A warm, dry Thanksgiving week is taking shape across the northern United States, while rain could complicate holiday plans across the South. However, AccuWeather long-range forecasters are closely monitoring any potential changes that could shake up the northern outlook.
“The big question is whether the warm, dry pattern across the northern United States will hold through Thanksgiving week or give way to changes that could impact holiday plans. We are also watching mountain snow in the West as people consider where to spend their first ski trip of the season,” said AccuWeather expert meteorologist Chad Merrill.
Thanksgiving Forecast Sneak Peek
- Northern U.S.: Warm, generally dry weather is favored, but the AccuWeather Long Range team is watching for a pattern change later this month that may disrupt the current outlook.
- Southern U.S.: Rain could affect holiday travel and outdoor plans. The timing and areas most likely to get wet will become clearer as the holiday approaches.
- Western mountains: Some snow is expected at higher elevations, making the West a region to watch for people hoping to ski during the holiday week.
Where could the northern weather pattern change, and which U.S. destinations could offer the best holiday-week skiing? AccuWeather will release its full Thanksgiving outlook early next week. The outlook will also detail travel conditions early in Thanksgiving week and return trips after Thanksgiving Day.
South Florida Thanksgiving Week Daily Forecast Data
For Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties, Thanksgiving week features typical late-fall warmth combined with periodic marine showers and potential travel slow-downs around peak Wednesday departures.
| Date / Day | Outlook & Sky Conditions | High / Low (°F) | Rain Chance | Wind & Coastal Hazards |
| Mon, Nov 23 | Mostly sunny, breezy, and warm | 82° / 71° | 20% | E 10–15 mph; moderate Atlantic rip current risk |
| Tue, Nov 24 | Partly cloudy with isolated coastal showers | 83° / 72° | 30% | ESE 12–18 mph; choppy coastal and inlet waters |
| Wed, Nov 25 (Peak Travel) | Scattered showers and thunderstorms; cloudy intervals | 81° / 70° | 50% | SE 15–20 mph; localized airport/I-95 transit slowdowns |
| Thu, Nov 26 (Thanksgiving) | Morning scattered showers; partial clearing by afternoon | 82° / 69° | 40% | ENE 10–15 mph; isolated outdoor meal interruptions |
| Fri, Nov 27 (Black Friday) | Sunny intervals, pleasant afternoon conditions | 80° / 68° | 20% | NE 10–15 mph; dry retail shopping and transit conditions |
| Sat, Nov 28 | Mostly sunny, comfortable humidity | 81° / 67° | 15% | NE 8–12 mph; favorable beach and boating conditions |
| Sun, Nov 29 (Return Travel) | Partly sunny with a stray afternoon sprinkle | 82° / 69° | 25% | E 10–15 mph; routine regional transit conditions |
Holiday Travel & Regional Impact Analysis
- Airport Operations: Travelers flying through Miami International Airport (MIA), Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport (FLL), and Palm Beach International Airport (PBI) should anticipate possible gate holds and departure metering on Wednesday, November 25, if localized convection aligns with southern rain shields.
- Highway Corridors: Motorists on the Florida Turnpike, Interstate 95, and Interstate 75 (Alligator Alley) should expect intermittent wet pavement, reduced visibility during squalls, and higher-than-average volume beginning Tuesday afternoon.
- Marine & Coastal Inundation: Persistent easterly breezes will keep ocean waters choppy, with potential minor saltwater pooling in low-lying coastal areas during morning high-tide cycles.
Stay tuned….
Sources
- AccuWeather: https://www.accuweather.com
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac Thanksgiving Outlook: https://www.almanac.com/november-weather-forecast
- National Weather Service Miami / South Florida: https://www.weather.gov/mfl/
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