You wouldn’t know it from the presidential campaigns, but the first serious crisis to face our new president most likely will be international. The list of possibilities is long—longer than it was eight years ago.
Here is the world the new president will inherit at noon on January 20—a range of challenges for which neither candidate has offered new strategies or paths forward.
Every aspect of our relationship with China is becoming more challenging. In addition to Chinese cyberspying and theft of intellectual property, many American businesses in China are encountering an increasingly hostile environment. China’s nationalist determination unilaterally to assert sovereignty over disputed waters and islands in the East and South China Seas is steadily increasing the risk of military confrontation.
National Polling Data
Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Clinton (D)
|
Trump (R)
|
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 8/26 – 9/16 | — | — | 45.7 | 44.2 | Clinton +1.5 |
LA Times/USC Tracking | 9/10 – 9/16 | 2565 LV | 4.5 | 41 | 47 | Trump +6 |
FOX News | 9/11 – 9/14 | 867 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 46 | Trump +1 |
CBS News/NY Times | 9/9 – 9/13 | 1433 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 44 | Clinton +2 |
Economist/YouGov | 9/10 – 9/13 | 926 RV | 4.0 | 46 | 44 | Clinton +2 |
Quinnipiac | 9/8 – 9/13 | 960 LV | 3.2 | 48 | 43 | Clinton +5 |
Reuters/Ipsos | 9/8 – 9/12 | 1127 LV | 3.3 | 40 | 39 | Clinton +1 |
NBC News/SM | 9/5 – 9/11 | 16220 RV | 1.1 | 48 | 44 | Clinton +4 |
ABC News/Wash Post | 9/5 – 9/8 | 642 LV | 4.5 | 51 | 43 | Clinton +8 |
CNN/ORC | 9/1 – 9/4 | 786 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 49 | Trump +1 |
IBD/TIPP | 8/26 – 9/1 | 861 LV | 3.4 | 44 | 43 | Clinton +1 |
All General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data
Florida Polling Data
Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Trump (R)
|
Clinton (D)
|
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 8/19 – 9/12 | — | — | 45.1 | 44.4 | Trump +0.7 |
CNN/ORC | 9/7 – 9/12 | 788 LV | 3.5 | 50 | 46 | Trump +4 |
JMC Analytics* | 9/7 – 9/8 | 781 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 42 | Trump +4 |
CBS News/YouGov* | 9/7 – 9/9 | 1193 LV | 3.5 | 42 | 44 | Clinton +2 |
Quinnipiac | 8/29 – 9/7 | 761 LV | 3.6 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
PPP (D) | 9/4 – 9/6 | 744 LV | 3.6 | 46 | 47 | Clinton +1 |
Mason-Dixon* | 8/22 – 8/24 | 625 LV | 4.0 | 42 | 44 | Clinton +2 |
Florida Atlantic University* | 8/19 – 8/22 | 1200 LV | 2.7 | 43 | 41 | Trump +2 |