Home Weather Mostly Dry Start to Autumn, Watching The Tropics (Updated)

Mostly Dry Start to Autumn, Watching The Tropics (Updated)

 Here at home, Monday features good sun along the Gulf coast and a mix of sun and some clouds on the ocean breeze in the east coast metro area.  A high risk of dangerous rip currents remains in place at the Atlantic beaches through at least Monday night.  Highs on Monday will be in the mid 80s in the east coast metro area and a few degrees warmer elsewhere.

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Tuesday will be sunny, with just a few clouds in spots.  Tuesday’s highs will be mostly in the upper 80s.

Look for lots of sun and blue skies on Wednesday.  Wednesday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

Thursday will feature lots of sun along the Gulf coast and a mix of sun and clouds in the east coast metro area.  Thursday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

The Gulf coast will be sunny on Friday, while the east coast metro area will see sun, clouds, and a few passing showers.  Highs on Friday will be in the low 90s along the Gulf coast and the upper 80s in Miami-Dade and Broward.

In the busy tropics, Tropical Storm Jerry continues moving in the direction of Bermuda, where there is now a tropical storm watch.  At 5 am Monday, Jerry was located near 27.8 North, 67.7 West, about 355 miles south-southwest of Bermuda.  Jerry was moving north-northwest at 9 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds were 65 miles per hour.  Jerry’s center should pass near Bermuda on Tuesday night.

Tropical Storm Karen is battling wind shear in the eastern Caribbean, but we’ll need to watch it carefully.  At 5 am Monday, Karen was located near 13.6 North, 63.9 West, about 290 miles south-southeast of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands.  Karen was moving northwest at 8 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds were 40 miles per hour.  Tropical storm warnings are in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, and a tropical storm watch is in effect for the British Virgin Islands.  Karen is quite disorganized now, but it will be entering a more favorable environment north of Puerto Rico on Wednesday.  Meanwhile, a strong ridge is expected to build over the western Atlantic, and Karen is forecast to slow down and possibly loop east of the Bahamas late in the workweek.  If the ridge remains strong enough, a U.S. landfall is not out of the question.  Timing will be everything with Karen, and we’ll be watching it very closely.

In the eastern Atlantic, the wave we’ve been watching is now Tropical Depression # 13.  At 5 am, TD # 13 was located near 10.8 North, 22.2 West, about 315 miles south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands.  TD # 13 was moving west at 15 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds were 35 miles per hour, but TD # 13 is expected to reach tropical storm status later on Monday.

 

By Donna Thomas, SouthFloridaReporter.com, certified Meteorologist, Sept. 23, 2019

Donna Thomas has studied hurricanes for two decades. She holds a PhD in history when her experience with Hurricane Andrew ultimately led her to earn a degree in broadcast meteorology from Mississippi State University. Donna spent 15 years at WFOR-TV (CBS4 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale), where she worked as a weather producer with hurricane experts Bryan Norcross and David Bernard. She also produced hurricane specials and weather-related features and news coverage, as well as serving as pool TV producer at the National Hurricane Center during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. Donna also served as a researcher on NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project. Donna specializes in Florida's hurricane history.