Home Weather Dry and Seasonable Here, Still Watching the Tropics (Updated)

Dry and Seasonable Here, Still Watching the Tropics (Updated)

  Here at home, Wednesday features sunny skies with just a few clouds at times.  An elevated risk of dangerous rip currents remains in place at the Atlantic beaches on Wednesday and throughout the workweek.  Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 80s.

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Thursday will be another day with lots of sun and dry conditions.  Thursday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

A few clouds and showers are back on Friday, but we’ll also see plenty of sun.  Friday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

Saturday will feature good sun, a few clouds at times, and passing showers in spots.  Saturday’s highs will be in the upper 80s.

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Look for good sun, some clouds, and a few more showers on Sunday.  Highs on Sunday will be near 90 degrees.

In the tropics, Tropical Storm Karen is moving away from Puerto Rico, but flash flooding will continue there and in the Virgin Islands on Wednesday.  At 5 am, Karen was located near 20.5 North, 65.2 West, about 155 miles north-northeast of San Juan.  Maximum sustained winds were 45 miles per hour, and Karen was moving north at 14 miles per hour.  The forecast for Karen remains complicated.  The low in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Storm Jerry, and the ridge forecast to develop in the western Atlantic will all have an impact on Karen’s ultimate track.  Most of the models show Karen stalling and then looping east of the Bahamas.  In short, we’ll have to watch this one very closely for the rest of the week and beyond.

Jerry has now lost its tropical characteristics as it approaches Bermuda.  At 5 am Wednesday, Post-tropical Cyclone Jerry was located near 31.8 North, 67.9 West, about 185 miles west of Bermuda.  Maximum sustained winds were 45 miles per hour.  Jerry was moving northeast at 7 miles per hour and will bring tropical storm force winds, heavy swells, and dangerous rip currents to Bermuda from Wednesday afternoon into the night.

In the eastern Atlantic, Lorenzo is now a hurricane.  At 5 am Wednesday, Lorenzo was located near 13.6 North, 33.9 West, and was moving west-northwest at 17 miles per hour.  Maximum sustained winds were 80 miles per hour.  Lorenzo is forecast to become a major hurricane on Thursday.  Fortunately, all the computer models indicate Lorenzo will remain in the open waters of the Atlantic.

Finally, the low in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has a low chance of developing before reaching the northern coast of Mexico on Saturday.

[vc_message message_box_style=”solid-icon” message_box_color=”blue”]By Donna Thomas, SouthFloridaReporter.com, certified Meteorologist, Sept. 25, 2019[/vc_message]
Donna Thomas has studied hurricanes for two decades. She holds a PhD in history when her experience with Hurricane Andrew ultimately led her to earn a degree in broadcast meteorology from Mississippi State University. Donna spent 15 years at WFOR-TV (CBS4 in Miami-Fort Lauderdale), where she worked as a weather producer with hurricane experts Bryan Norcross and David Bernard. She also produced hurricane specials and weather-related features and news coverage, as well as serving as pool TV producer at the National Hurricane Center during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. Donna also served as a researcher on NOAA's Atlantic Hurricane Database Reanalysis Project. Donna specializes in Florida's hurricane history.