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2016 Hurricane Season Predictions

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Numbers of Atlantic Basin named storms, those that attain at least tropical storm strength, hurricanes, and hurricanes of Category 3 intensity forecast Colorado State University (right column) compared to the 30-year average (left column). Crediy: The Weather Channel

The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season forecast released Thursday from Colorado State University calls for the number of named storms and hurricanes to be near historical averages.

A total of 12 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricane are expected this season, according to the forecast prepared by CSU, which is headed by Dr. Phil Klotzbach in consultation with long-time hurricane expert Dr. William Gray.

This is close to the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. A major hurricane is one that is Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Those seasonal forecast numbers do not include Hurricane Alex, a rare January hurricane that struck the Azores a few months back. Though the official hurricane season spans the months from June through November, occasionally we can see storms form outside those months.

(MORE: Hurricane Alex Recap)

The CSU outlook is based on a combination of 29 years of statistical predictors, combined with analog seasons exhibiting similar features of sea-level pressure and sea-surface temperatures in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific Oceans.

Here are three questions about this outlook and what it means for you.

[vc_btn title=”More on 2016 hurricane season” style=”outline” color=”primary” size=”lg” align=”left” link=”url:https%3A%2F%2Fweather.com%2Fstorms%2Fhurricane%2Fnews%2F2016-hurricane-season-forecast-atlantic-colorado-state-csu|title:More%20on%202016%20hurricane%20season|target:%20_blank”][vc_message message_box_style=”3d” message_box_color=”turquoise”]By Chris Dolce and Jon Erdman, The Weather Channel, Special to SouthFloridaReporter.com, April 15, 2016 [/vc_message]