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Forecasters Eye Atlantic Tropical Risk Near Bermuda and Eastern Gulf Amid Quiet Mid-September

A new area of medium development risk to watch is emerging in the Atlantic near Bermuda from Sept. 17-21, while much of the basin remains unusually quiet for mid-September.

Should a tropical system develop in this area, no impacts to the mainland United States are expected at this time, although interests in Bermuda will want to watch this area closely.

“We’re past the climatological peak of hurricane season, and it has been a quiet season in the Atlantic overall, but it’s still important to remain vigilant,” said AccuWeather expert meteorologist Nicholas Arman. “There can certainly be impactful storms through the remainder of the season. By the end of the month, the pattern could become more conducive for tropical development, including homegrown development in the Gulf and off the Southeast coast.”

9_14 Tropical Development Potential

Three tropical waves are currently moving westward across the Atlantic, but none are expected to develop at this time.

Faith Based Events

Eastern Gulf Also Being Monitored

AccuWeather hurricane experts are also monitoring a low risk of tropical development in the eastern Gulf from Sept. 17-19.

A front moving into the southeastern United States could help enhance thunderstorm activity across the region and nearby waters, creating an opportunity for possible tropical development.

Despite the areas being monitored, the overall risk of tropical rain and wind impacts remains low through Sept. 27 across most of the Caribbean, Bermuda, the United States, Atlantic Canada and portions of Mexico.

Could the Atlantic Become More Active Later This Month?

The Atlantic hurricane season is now past its climatological peak, which occurs around Sept. 10, but the season continues through Nov. 30.

Looking toward the end of September, the overall pattern could become more conducive for tropical development, including the potential for homegrown tropical development in the Gulf and off the Southeast coast later this month.


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