America could be in for a long night on Tuesday as Florida once again looks close in the presidential election.
Quinnipiac University released a poll on Wednesday afternoon showing Democrat Hillary Clinton with the narrowest of leads over Republican Donald Trump in the Sunshine State. Clinton takes 46 percent while Trump is right on her heels with 45 percent.
The poll does show Clinton with an early lead with 48 percent of those who have already voted backing her while 42 percent are behind Trump.
Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein pull 2 percent apiece. When the minor party candidates are taken out of the mix, Clinton is ahead with 47 percent while 45 percent are behind Trump.
“After a two-year campaign which has produced the most unpopular presidential candidates in American history, the election comes down – as it historically does – to a handful of swing states,” said Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll which had Trump ahead in Ohio and Clinton out front in North Carolina. Pennsylvania
“No one has been elected president since 1960 without carrying two of the key swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania,” Brown added. “And, this year, North Carolina has been added to the mix. All four of these key states remain close entering the final days.
“Florida, which has the largest cache of electoral votes, is a virtual tie and North Carolina is almost as close,” Brown continued. “Donald Trump’s strength is with independent voters.”
Both Clinton and Trump are upside down in Florida. Clinton is seen as favorable by 44 percent while 54 percent see her as unfavorable. Trump is seen as favorable by 40 percent while 57 percent view him as unfavorable.
Latest polls from RealClearPolitics
Florida Polling Data
Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Trump (R)
|
Clinton (D)
|
Johnson (L)
|
Stein (G)
|
Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 10/25 – 11/1 | — | — | 46.0 | 45.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 | Trump +0.7 |
CNN/ORC | 10/27 – 11/1 | 773 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 49 | 3 | 1 | Clinton +2 |
Quinnipiac | 10/27 – 11/1 | 626 LV | 3.9 | 45 | 46 | 2 | 2 | Clinton +1 |
Remington Research (R)* | 10/30 – 10/30 | 989 LV | 3.1 | 48 | 44 | 2 | — | Trump +4 |
NY Times/Siena | 10/25 – 10/27 | 814 LV | 3.4 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 2 | Trump +4 |
Emerson | 10/26 – 10/27 | 500 LV | 4.3 | 45 | 46 | 4 | 0 | Clinton +1 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 10/25 – 10/26 | 779 LV | 3.5 | 44 | 45 | 5 | 2 | Clinton +1 |
Dixie Strategies | 10/25 – 10/26 | 698 LV | 3.7 | 46 | 42 | 2 | 1 | Trump +4 |
Gravis | 10/25 – 10/26 | 1301 RV | 2.7 | 47 | 48 | 1 | 0 | Clinton +1 |
All Florida: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Polling Data
Thursday, November 3 |
Florida is setting up to be another squeaker. TRUMP / PENCE 2016
Get out there and vote.